Covington, VA 24457 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 23
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Home Value
$131,902
+11.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
23
Jun 2025
Days on Market
14 days
Jun 2025
Price Cut %
0.0%
Jun 2025
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.5%
Nov 2021
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-40%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$213
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 40% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 11.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−100% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (23/100; U.S.: 54) (as of Jun 2025): homes sell for about 8.5% below their final list price (as of Nov 2021); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%) (as of Jun 2025).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $34k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $213 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (47% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.6% to +6.8% (80% range; middle estimate −0.3%), chance of a rise 47%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Alleghany County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Covington, VA 24426 | $168.9K | +5.5% | 67 |
| Clifton Forge, VA 24422 | $145.4K | −1.3% | 91 |
| Iron Gate, VA 24448 | $88.7K | −2.0% | 83 |
| Covington, VA 24474 | $120.7K | −1.9% | 22 |