Mint Hill, NC 28227 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 72
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Home Value
$387,113
+0.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
72
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
58 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,648/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
60%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$117
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 60% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 70% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+34% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (72/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,475 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $693/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $117 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.6% to +8.7% (80% range; middle estimate +1.6%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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