Barnardsville, NC 28709 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 98
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Home Value
$350,327
−3.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
98
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
105 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Dec 2023
Overvalued %
-3.3%
Dec 2023
Expected Disaster Loss
$243
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 22% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+86% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.8% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $82k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $243 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.0% to +7.3% (80% range; middle estimate +0.3%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Buncombe County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asheville, NC 28806 | $393K | −4.6% | 92 |
| Asheville, NC 28803 | $437.9K | −5.5% | 98 |
| Candler, NC 28715 | $411.8K | −2.6% | 89 |
| Asheville, NC 28804 | $583.7K | −4.5% | 98 |
| Arden, NC 28704 | $433.5K | −4.1% | 92 |
| Weaverville, NC 28787 | $464.3K | −3.4% | 97 |
| Asheville, NC 28805 | $441.7K | −5.9% | 90 |
| Asheville, NC 28801 | $551.3K | −2.5% | 93 |
| Swannanoa, NC 28778 | $359.9K | −4.8% | 73 |
| Black Mountain, NC 28711 | $465.2K | −3.8% | 98 |
| Leicester, NC 28748 | $426.1K | −2.9% | 96 |
| Fairview, NC 28730 | $518.7K | −4.4% | 86 |
| Alexander, NC 28701 | $421.6K | −3.4% | 98 |
| ZIP 28757 | – | – | 16 |
| ZIP 28770 | – | – | 25 |