Black Mountain, NC 28711 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 15% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
• Prices. Home values are down 3.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. There are 41% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.0% below their final list price; 32% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $110k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,278 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $968/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $105 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (49% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.3% to +7.0% (80% range; middle estimate 0.0%), chance of a rise 49%, of a 5%+ drop 22%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

Other ZIP codes in Buncombe County, NC