West Palm Beach, FL 33409 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 75
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Home Value
$303,726
−1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
75
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
80 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
19%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,071/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
48%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$138
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 48% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 7% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 19% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−14% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (75/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.7% below their final list price; 19% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $85k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $4,071 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $138 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.8%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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