Boca Raton, FL 33487 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 72
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Home Value
$681,732
+4.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
72
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
86 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
12%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
55%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$3,479/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
53%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$181
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 53% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 3% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 26% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (72/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.1% below their final list price; 12% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 55% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $175k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $5,045 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $893/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $181 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.4% to +12.9% (80% range; middle estimate +5.8%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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