Boca Raton, FL 33496 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 58
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Home Value
$1.1M
+13.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
58
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
81 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
69%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$3,362/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
86%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$176
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 86% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 13.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 59% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−26% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (58/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.9% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 69% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $263k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $4,849 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $3,209/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $176 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −2% to +15% over the next 12 months (87% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −1.5% to +14.8% (80% range; middle estimate +7.8%), chance of a rise 87%, of a 5%+ drop 4%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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