Pelham, TN 37301 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 73
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Home Value
$211,701
+7.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
73
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
103 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
99%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$130
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 99% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 17% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (73/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $130 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.3% (80% range; middle estimate +3.2%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grundy County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy City, TN 37387 | $190.4K | −1.0% | 97 |
| Palmer, TN 37365 | $150.1K | −2.8% | 93 |
| Coalmont, TN 37313 | $246.9K | +4.6% | 62 |
| Gruetli Laager, TN 37339 | $184.6K | +0.9% | 99 |
| Pelham, TN 37366 | $236.5K | +9.8% | 54 |
| Altamont, TN 37305 | $166.2K | +5.6% | 51 |