Tracy City, TN 37387 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 97
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Home Value
$190,404
−1.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
97
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
11.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
107 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
39%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$131
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 39% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 151% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+24% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (97/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.5% below their final list price; 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $47k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $131 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.7% to +7.6% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grundy County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmer, TN 37365 | $150.1K | −2.8% | 93 |
| Coalmont, TN 37313 | $246.9K | +4.6% | 62 |
| Pelham, TN 37301 | $211.7K | +7.8% | 73 |
| Gruetli Laager, TN 37339 | $184.6K | +0.9% | 99 |
| Pelham, TN 37366 | $236.5K | +9.8% | 54 |
| Altamont, TN 37305 | $166.2K | +5.6% | 51 |