Elizabethton, TN 37643 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 65
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Home Value
$234,346
−0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
65
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
54 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
38%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,029/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
37%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$138
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 37% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 12% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+14% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (65/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.5% below their final list price; 38% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $56k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,131 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $375/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $138 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.2%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Carter County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roan Mountain, TN 37687 | $247.9K | +0.9% | 98 |
| Hampton, TN 37658 | $209.3K | +0.4% | 36 |
| Watauga, TN 37694 | $247.3K | +7.6% | 54 |
| ZIP 37682 | – | – | – |