Fall Branch, TN 37656 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 21
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Home Value
$289,814
+3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
21
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
13%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
43%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$86
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 43% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 37% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−10% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (21/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.8% below their final list price; 13% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $68k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,259 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $86 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (82% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.1% to +13.2% (80% range; middle estimate +6.1%), chance of a rise 82%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Washington County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson City, TN 37604 | $283.6K | +1.1% | 56 |
| Johnson City, TN 37601 | $264K | +0.4% | 58 |
| Jonesborough, TN 37659 | $341.4K | +2.6% | 61 |
| Johnson City, TN 37615 | $356.9K | +2.0% | 40 |
| Limestone, TN 37681 | $294.8K | +1.5% | 56 |
| Telford, TN 37690 | $314.3K | +3.1% | 26 |
| ZIP 37614 | – | – | – |