Mooresburg, TN 37811 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 83
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Home Value
$232,052
−6.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
83
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
67 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
27%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$149
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 6.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 7% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 27% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+25% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (83/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.2% below their final list price; 27% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $56k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,265 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $149 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hawkins County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rogersville, TN 37857 | $235.7K | +5.7% | 73 |
| Church Hill, TN 37642 | $263.8K | +5.8% | 50 |
| Bulls Gap, TN 37711 | $240.7K | +8.6% | 59 |
| Mount Carmel, TN 37645 | $270.8K | +7.2% | 80 |
| Surgoinsville, TN 37873 | $235.6K | +9.1% | 44 |
| Eidson, TN 37731 | $189.2K | +1.9% | 90 |