Gilt Edge, TN 38015 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 68
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Home Value
$235,864
+6.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
68
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
59 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
36%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
27%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$157
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 27% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 69% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+200% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (68/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.1% of list); 36% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $58k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,766 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $157 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Tipton County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Covington, TN 38019 | $210.2K | +3.0% | 100 |
| Atoka, TN 38004 | $350.6K | +0.9% | 91 |
| Munford, TN 38058 | $286K | +1.5% | 78 |
| Brighton, TN 38011 | $270.8K | +0.9% | 33 |
| Drummonds, TN 38023 | $271.7K | +3.4% | 43 |
| Frenchmans Bayou, AR 72338 | – | – | – |