Hornbeak, TN 38232 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 90
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Home Value
$169,478
+5.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
90
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
68 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
62%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$298
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 62% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 30% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+14% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (90/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.0% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $298 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes. Earthquakes aren't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.3% to +12.0% (80% range; middle estimate +4.9%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Obion County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union City, TN 38261 | $174.6K | +7.8% | 72 |
| South Fulton, TN 38257 | $158.3K | +6.2% | 66 |
| Troy, TN 38260 | $181.7K | +6.8% | 75 |
| Obion, TN 38240 | $162.7K | +7.4% | 62 |
| Rives, TN 38253 | $204.3K | +10.2% | 97 |
| Trimble, TN 38259 | $108.2K | −9.2% | 57 |
| ZIP 38254 | – | – | 1 |