Selmer, TN 38375 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 69
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Home Value
$162,870
+2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
69
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
92 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
19%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$149
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 19% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 1% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (69/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.4% below their final list price; 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $41k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $149 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.8% to +11.5% (80% range; middle estimate +4.5%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in McNairy County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adamsville, TN 38310 | $188.9K | +4.9% | 76 |
| Bethel Springs, TN 38315 | $157.8K | +6.9% | 60 |
| Michie, TN 38357 | $195.6K | +5.3% | 89 |
| Ramer, TN 38367 | $174.4K | +5.6% | 29 |
| Finger, TN 38334 | $171.5K | +3.9% | 62 |
| Stantonville, TN 38379 | $200.5K | +9.4% | 47 |
| Pocahontas, TN 38061 | $190.4K | +12.5% | 54 |
| Guys, TN 38339 | $190.9K | +9.2% | 2 |