Elkton, TN 38449 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$263,048
+3.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
128 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
27%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
30%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$131
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 30% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 38% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+9% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 27% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $63k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $131 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (55% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.6% to +7.7% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 55%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Elkton, TN 38449
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Lincoln County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville, TN 37334 | $256.8K | +3.0% | 82 |
| Petersburg, TN 37144 | $315.6K | +6.4% | 99 |
| Flintville, TN 37335 | $268.1K | +4.5% | 20 |
| Taft, TN 38488 | $317.7K | +4.5% | 86 |
| Elora, TN 37328 | $271.5K | +7.5% | 26 |
| Mulberry, TN 37359 | $319.4K | +1.7% | 29 |
| Kelso, TN 37348 | $261.9K | +6.2% | 50 |
| Frankewing, TN 38459 | $325.1K | +7.0% | 53 |
| Dellrose, TN 38453 | $335.5K | +2.8% | 90 |