Cawood, KY 40815 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 48% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
• Prices. Home values are down 4.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−100% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54) (as of Mar 2025): homes sell for about 9.9% below their final list price (as of May 2024); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%) (as of Mar 2025).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 9% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $21k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $349 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +14% over the next 12 months (84% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.7% to +13.6% (80% range; middle estimate +6.6%), chance of a rise 84%, of a 5%+ drop 5%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

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