Clay, KY 42404 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 50
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Home Value
$142,250
+11.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
50
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
25 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
67%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
19%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
43%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$220
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 43% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 11.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 14% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−33% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (50/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.0% below their final list price; 67% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 19% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $220 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.2% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Webster County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Providence, KY 42450 | $109K | +1.2% | 92 |
| Sebree, KY 42455 | $157.3K | +4.5% | 26 |
| Dixon, KY 42409 | $193.8K | +9.7% | 4 |
| Slaughters, KY 42456 | $183K | +4.6% | 52 |
| ZIP 42463 | – | – | 21 |
| ZIP 42444 | – | – | – |