Dixon, KY 42409 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 4
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Home Value
$193,789
+9.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
4
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.6 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
7 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
60%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$170
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 60% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 9.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 75% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (4/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $170 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.6% to +9.7% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Webster County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Providence, KY 42450 | $109K | +1.2% | 92 |
| Sebree, KY 42455 | $157.3K | +4.5% | 26 |
| Clay, KY 42404 | $142.3K | +11.1% | 50 |
| Slaughters, KY 42456 | $183K | +4.6% | 52 |
| ZIP 42463 | – | – | 21 |
| ZIP 42444 | – | – | – |