Providence, KY 42450 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 92
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Home Value
$109,034
+1.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
92
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
57 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
17%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
9.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$195
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+9% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 120% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+120% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (92/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.9% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 17% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $31k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $195 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +6% over the next 12 months (45% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.8% to +6.5% (80% range; middle estimate −0.6%), chance of a rise 45%, of a 5%+ drop 24%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Webster County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sebree, KY 42455 | $157.3K | +4.5% | 26 |
| Dixon, KY 42409 | $193.8K | +9.7% | 4 |
| Clay, KY 42404 | $142.3K | +11.1% | 50 |
| Slaughters, KY 42456 | $183K | +4.6% | 52 |
| ZIP 42463 | – | – | 21 |
| ZIP 42444 | – | – | – |