Shelbina, MO 63468 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 87
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Home Value
$180,407
+7.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
87
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
104 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
50%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
58%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 58% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 24% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−36% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (87/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.0% below their final list price; 50% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $47k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.5% to +12.8% (80% range; middle estimate +5.7%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Shelby County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clarence, MO 63437 | $191.7K | +11.1% | 53 |
| Shelbyville, MO 63469 | $248.5K | +11.5% | 6 |
| Bethel, MO 63434 | $268.1K | +9.7% | 2 |
| Emden, MO 63439 | – | – | 17 |
| Leonard, MO 63451 | $317.1K | +3.4% | 32 |
| Lentner, MO 63450 | – | – | 13 |