Shelbyville, MO 63469 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 6
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Home Value
$248,513
+11.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
6
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
48 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
82.0%
Feb 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
34%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
108%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$125
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 108% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 11.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 73% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (6/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 18.0% below their final list price (as of Feb 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 34% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $63k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $125 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (83% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.0% to +13.3% (80% range; middle estimate +6.2%), chance of a rise 83%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Shelby County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbina, MO 63468 | $180.4K | +7.6% | 87 |
| Clarence, MO 63437 | $191.7K | +11.1% | 53 |
| Bethel, MO 63434 | $268.1K | +9.7% | 2 |
| Emden, MO 63439 | – | – | 17 |
| Leonard, MO 63451 | $317.1K | +3.4% | 32 |
| Lentner, MO 63450 | – | – | 13 |