Mansfield, AR 72944 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$191,109
+8.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
159 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
81%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$215
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 81% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 8.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 24% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.6% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $48k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,681 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $215 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.2%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Sebastian County, AR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Smith, AR 72903 | $239.8K | +2.5% | 49 |
| Fort Smith, AR 72904 | $118.3K | +0.4% | 55 |
| Fort Smith, AR 72901 | $137.4K | +1.2% | 67 |
| Fort Smith, AR 72908 | $229.9K | +2.7% | 58 |
| Greenwood, AR 72936 | $243.3K | +4.9% | 56 |
| Fort Smith, AR 72916 | $320.9K | +1.0% | 62 |
| Barling, AR 72941 | $244.9K | +5.6% | 92 |
| Barling, AR 72923 | $197.8K | +3.9% | 81 |
| Hackett, AR 72937 | $211.8K | +7.6% | 92 |
| Huntington, AR 72940 | $204.4K | +6.5% | 22 |
| Hartford, AR 72938 | – | – | 45 |
| Midland, AR 72945 | – | – | 41 |
| Fort Smith, AR 72905 | – | – | 13 |