Olney, TX 76374 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 50
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Home Value
$117,793
−3.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
50
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
68 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
63%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$105
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 63% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 29% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−37% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (50/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.2% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,822 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $105 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Young County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graham, TX 76450 | $219.6K | −0.6% | 91 |
| Loving, TX 76460 | – | – | 55 |
| South Bend, TX 76481 | – | – | 32 |