Llano, TX 78643 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
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Home Value
$360,539
−3.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
120 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
39%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$168
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 14% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 24% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.8% below their final list price; 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $89k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $168 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.9% to +7.4% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Llano County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsland, TX 78639 | $433.5K | −3.7% | 100 |
| Horseshoe Bay, TX 78657 | $634.7K | −4.0% | 99 |
| Buchanan Dam, TX 78609 | $365.8K | −2.1% | 92 |
| Tow, TX 78672 | $249.2K | −6.3% | 94 |
| Valley Spring, TX 76885 | – | – | 54 |
| Buchanan Dam, TX 78607 | – | – | 99 |
| Castell, TX 76831 | – | – | – |