Downey, ID 83234 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 97
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Home Value
$326,141
+4.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
97
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
97 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
35%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$230
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 34% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 92% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+45% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (97/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.2% below their final list price; 35% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $77k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,198 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $230 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Bannock County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pocatello, ID 83201 | $337.1K | +1.7% | 62 |
| Chubbuck, ID 83202 | $397.5K | +1.3% | 87 |
| Inkom, ID 83245 | $499.2K | +2.0% | 61 |
| McCammon, ID 83250 | $431.7K | +1.0% | 6 |
| ZIP 83209 | – | – | – |
| Lava Hot Springs, ID 83246 | $451.8K | −1.2% | 99 |
| Arimo, ID 83214 | – | – | 35 |
| ZIP 83281 | – | – | 46 |