Island Park, ID 83429 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 98
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Home Value
$595,780
+6.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
98
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
113 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
13%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Jan 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
53%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
83%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$231
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 83% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 79% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+8% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price (as of Jan 2026); 13% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 53% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $138k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $231 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.6% to +9.7% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Fremont County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamer, ID 83445 | $356.8K | +6.1% | 73 |
| Island Park, ID 83420 | $452.3K | +8.9% | 100 |
| Parker, ID 83438 | – | – | 28 |
| Chester, ID 83421 | – | – | 11 |
| Macks Inn, ID 83433 | – | – | – |