Taos, NM 87571 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 95
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Home Value
$433,705
−0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
95
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
114 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
52%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,100/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-24%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$137
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 24% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 20% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 24% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+30% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (95/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 9.1% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 52% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $100k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $396/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $137 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +6% over the next 12 months (45% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −10.0% to +6.4% (80% range; middle estimate −0.7%), chance of a rise 45%, of a 5%+ drop 24%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Taos County, NM
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ranchos de Taos, NM 87557 | $414K | −0.6% | 97 |
| El Prado, NM 87529 | $511.2K | 0.0% | 95 |
| Questa, NM 87556 | – | – | 99 |
| Arroyo Seco, NM 87514 | – | – | 69 |
| Penasco, NM 87553 | – | – | 51 |
| Vadito, NM 87579 | – | – | 15 |
| Red River, NM 87558 | $435.6K | −1.4% | 78 |
| Arroyo Hondo, NM 87513 | – | – | 76 |
| ZIP 87519 | – | – | 74 |
| Costilla, NM 87524 | – | – | 35 |
| Carson, NM 87517 | – | – | 29 |
| Amalia, NM 87512 | – | – | 37 |
| ZIP 87543 | – | – | 47 |
| Valdez, NM 87580 | $595.1K | +0.6% | 91 |
| San Cristobal, NM 87564 | – | – | 35 |
| Embudo, NM 87531 | – | – | 50 |
| Taos Ski Valley, NM 87525 | – | – | 53 |