Los Angeles, CA 90021 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 30
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Home Value
$850,183
+0.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
30
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
44 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
186%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,739/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$407
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 10% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 67% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−44% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (30/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.9% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 186% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $200k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,131 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,254/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $407 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes. Earthquakes aren't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.7%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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