Los Angeles, CA 90038 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 72
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Home Value
$986,398
−2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
72
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
58 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
10%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
114%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,613/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-21%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$364
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 21% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 19% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 56% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+19% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (72/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.4% below their final list price; 10% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 114% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $234k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,282 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $3,239/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $364 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes. Earthquakes aren't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (51% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.2% to +7.1% (80% range; middle estimate +0.1%), chance of a rise 51%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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