Los Angeles, CA 90731 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 47
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Home Value
$814,693
−0.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
47
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
76%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,566/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
13%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$256
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 13% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 8% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (47/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.2% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 76% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $192k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,513 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,245/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $256 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes. Earthquakes aren't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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