Discovery Bay, CA 94505 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 15% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
• Prices. Home values are down 1.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. Listings are 10% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−8% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $190k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,245/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $339 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.6%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

Other ZIP codes in Contra Costa County, CA