Lower Lake, CA 95457 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 94
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Home Value
$377,597
−2.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
94
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
116 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
44%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
1.5%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$666
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 21% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 14% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (94/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.6% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $666 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (59% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.0% to +8.3% (80% range; middle estimate +1.3%), chance of a rise 59%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lake County, CA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clearlake, CA 95422 | $208.2K | −3.3% | 85 |
| Kelseyville, CA 95451 | $354.1K | +0.1% | 89 |
| Lakeport, CA 95453 | $360.2K | −1.8% | 83 |
| Hidden Valley Lake, CA 95467 | $366.7K | −1.7% | 97 |
| Lucerne, CA 95458 | $239.2K | −5.9% | 100 |
| Clearlake Oaks, CA 95423 | $258.9K | −2.7% | 99 |
| Middletown, CA 95461 | $317.3K | −3.1% | 99 |
| Upper Lake, CA 95485 | $315.7K | −1.2% | 83 |
| Nice, CA 95464 | $227.6K | −3.2% | 84 |
| Middletown, CA 95426 | $287.2K | −1.6% | 70 |
| Witter Springs, CA 95493 | – | – | 38 |
| Lucerne, CA 95443 | $285.8K | +4.3% | 92 |
| ZIP 95435 | – | – | 32 |