Nice, CA 95464 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 84
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Home Value
$227,562
−3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
84
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
129 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
73%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-8.2%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$459
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 8% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 21% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 33% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (84/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.4% below their final list price; 73% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $59k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $459 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.4% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lake County, CA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clearlake, CA 95422 | $208.2K | −3.3% | 85 |
| Kelseyville, CA 95451 | $354.1K | +0.1% | 89 |
| Lakeport, CA 95453 | $360.2K | −1.8% | 83 |
| Hidden Valley Lake, CA 95467 | $366.7K | −1.7% | 97 |
| Lucerne, CA 95458 | $239.2K | −5.9% | 100 |
| Clearlake Oaks, CA 95423 | $258.9K | −2.7% | 99 |
| Middletown, CA 95461 | $317.3K | −3.1% | 99 |
| Upper Lake, CA 95485 | $315.7K | −1.2% | 83 |
| Lower Lake, CA 95457 | $377.6K | −2.0% | 94 |
| Middletown, CA 95426 | $287.2K | −1.6% | 70 |
| Witter Springs, CA 95493 | – | – | 38 |
| Lucerne, CA 95443 | $285.8K | +4.3% | 92 |
| ZIP 95435 | – | – | 32 |