Mosier, OR 97040 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$578,850
−0.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
140 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
53%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
55%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
41%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$407
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 41% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 15% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 55% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+114% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.7% below their final list price; 53% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 55% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $134k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $407 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.2% to +8.1% (80% range; middle estimate +1.0%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Wasco County, OR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Dalles, OR 97058 | $390.6K | +2.5% | 56 |
| Warm Springs, OR 97761 | – | – | – |
| Dufur, OR 97021 | $416.8K | +4.6% | 29 |
| Tygh Valley, OR 97063 | $402.7K | +3.2% | 43 |
| Pine Grove, OR 97037 | $358.8K | +5.6% | 96 |
| Antelope, OR 97001 | – | – | 72 |
| Shaniko, OR 97057 | – | – | 51 |