The Dalles, OR 97058 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 56
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Home Value
$390,589
+2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
56
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
66 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
46%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,728/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
62%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$243
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 62% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 32% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+10% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (56/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 46% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $95k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $646/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $243 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.6% to +10.7% (80% range; middle estimate +3.7%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Wasco County, OR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warm Springs, OR 97761 | – | – | – |
| Mosier, OR 97040 | $578.8K | −0.9% | 100 |
| Dufur, OR 97021 | $416.8K | +4.6% | 29 |
| Tygh Valley, OR 97063 | $402.7K | +3.2% | 43 |
| Pine Grove, OR 97037 | $358.8K | +5.6% | 96 |
| Antelope, OR 97001 | – | – | 72 |
| Shaniko, OR 97057 | – | – | 51 |