Chelan, WA 98816 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 96
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Home Value
$500,485
−8.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
96
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
106 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
43%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,870/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-14%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$312
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 14% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 8.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 18% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 5% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+8% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (96/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.8% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 43% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $118k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,388 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,086/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $312 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.8% to +7.5% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Chelan County, WA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wenatchee, WA 98801 | $493.2K | +0.2% | 55 |
| Cashmere, WA 98815 | $539.6K | +3.6% | 78 |
| Leavenworth, WA 98826 | $666.6K | −1.4% | 99 |
| Manson, WA 98831 | $738.9K | −2.0% | 91 |
| Entiat, WA 98822 | $476.8K | −0.8% | 99 |
| Malaga, WA 98828 | $524.5K | +1.3% | 78 |
| Leavenworth, WA 98847 | $499.7K | +0.1% | 79 |
| Dryden, WA 98821 | – | – | 49 |
| Monitor, WA 98836 | – | – | 13 |
| Chelan Falls, WA 98817 | – | – | 15 |
| Stehekin, WA 98852 | – | – | 87 |
| ZIP 98811 | – | – | 80 |