Elk County, PA housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 79
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Home Value
$143,711
+15.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
79
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
27.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
18%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
9.3%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$148
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+9% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 15.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 43% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+7% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (79/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.8% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 18% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $39k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $997 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $148 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.5% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +4.0%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Elk County, PA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Marys, PA 15857 | $158.4K | +10.4% | 66 |
| Ridgway, PA 15853 | $118.5K | +19.6% | 3 |
| Kersey, PA 15846 | $177.2K | +15.2% | 63 |
| Johnsonburg, PA 15845 | $84.5K | +13.7% | 30 |
| Weedville, PA 15868 | $162.5K | +25.5% | 61 |
| Brockport, PA 15823 | $162.8K | +35.0% | 80 |
| Wilcox, PA 15870 | $145.7K | +27.0% | 8 |
| Byrnedale, PA 15827 | $89.8K | +17.9% | 14 |
| Force, PA 15841 | – | – | 13 |
| James City, PA 16734 | – | – | 15 |
| Benezette, PA 15821 | $138.3K | +10.1% | 97 |
| ZIP 15831 | – | – | – |