Elberon, VA 23846 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 13
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$276,786
+0.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
13
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
29 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-9.9%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$76
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 10% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 33% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (13/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.1% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $68k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $76 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −6.9% to +9.4% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Elberon, VA 23846
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Surry County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Grove, VA 23881 | $299.1K | +4.1% | 23 |
| Surry, VA 23883 | $305.6K | −0.9% | 80 |
| Dendron, VA 23839 | $228.9K | +0.1% | 11 |
| ZIP 23899 | – | – | 52 |