Surry, VA 23883 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 80
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Home Value
$305,646
−0.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
80
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
63 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
38%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
24%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$76
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 24% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 20% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+23% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (80/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.3% below their final list price; 38% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $75k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $76 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.2% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Surry County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Grove, VA 23881 | $299.1K | +4.1% | 23 |
| Dendron, VA 23839 | $228.9K | +0.1% | 11 |
| Elberon, VA 23846 | $276.8K | +0.2% | 13 |
| ZIP 23899 | – | – | 52 |