Fuquay Varina, NC 27526 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$437,769
−2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
59 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,932/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
20%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$112
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 20% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 7% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 68% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.3% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $104k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,529 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $673/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $112 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (52% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.1% to +7.3% (80% range; middle estimate +0.2%), chance of a rise 52%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Harnett County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron, NC 28326 | $316.6K | +1.0% | 76 |
| Angier, NC 27501 | $329.5K | −1.1% | 54 |
| Spring Lake, NC 28390 | $246.1K | 0.0% | 54 |
| Lillington, NC 27546 | $292.3K | +0.9% | 71 |
| Broadway, NC 27505 | $276.3K | +1.9% | 47 |
| Erwin, NC 28339 | $200.1K | 0.0% | 97 |
| Coats, NC 27521 | $240.4K | −0.2% | 41 |
| Bunnlevel, NC 28323 | $288.4K | +1.3% | 88 |
| ZIP 27506 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 28368 | – | – | 53 |