Spring Lake, NC 28390 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 54
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Home Value
$246,120
0.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
54
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
79 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,414/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
18%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$120
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 18% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 8% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+33% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (54/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.8% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $62k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,629 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $144/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $120 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (57% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.4% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.9%), chance of a rise 57%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Harnett County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fuquay Varina, NC 27526 | $437.8K | −2.2% | 67 |
| Cameron, NC 28326 | $316.6K | +1.0% | 76 |
| Angier, NC 27501 | $329.5K | −1.1% | 54 |
| Lillington, NC 27546 | $292.3K | +0.9% | 71 |
| Broadway, NC 27505 | $276.3K | +1.9% | 47 |
| Erwin, NC 28339 | $200.1K | 0.0% | 97 |
| Coats, NC 27521 | $240.4K | −0.2% | 41 |
| Bunnlevel, NC 28323 | $288.4K | +1.3% | 88 |
| ZIP 27506 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 28368 | – | – | 53 |