Deer Lodge, TN 37726 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 95
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Home Value
$212,078
+1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
95
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
105 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-2.8%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$108
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 20% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−17% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (95/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.2% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,507 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $108 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Morgan County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Springs, TN 37840 | $248.1K | +4.2% | 57 |
| Wartburg, TN 37887 | $220K | +4.8% | 50 |
| Lancing, TN 37770 | $202.3K | +4.2% | 82 |
| Sunbright, TN 37872 | $213.2K | +3.7% | 70 |
| Oakdale, TN 37829 | $204K | +4.2% | 70 |
| ZIP 37845 | – | – | 54 |
| ZIP 37719 | – | – | – |
| Rugby, TN 37733 | – | – | 19 |