Wartburg, TN 37887 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 50
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Home Value
$220,043
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
50
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
26%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$118
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 26% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 7% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (50/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $54k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $118 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (57% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.3% to +8.0% (80% range; middle estimate +1.0%), chance of a rise 57%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Morgan County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Springs, TN 37840 | $248.1K | +4.2% | 57 |
| Lancing, TN 37770 | $202.3K | +4.2% | 82 |
| Deer Lodge, TN 37726 | $212.1K | +1.8% | 95 |
| Sunbright, TN 37872 | $213.2K | +3.7% | 70 |
| Oakdale, TN 37829 | $204K | +4.2% | 70 |
| ZIP 37845 | – | – | 54 |
| ZIP 37719 | – | – | – |
| Rugby, TN 37733 | – | – | 19 |