Hickory Valley, TN 38042 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$206,295
+8.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.1 months
Jun 2026
Days on Market
166 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
78.6%
Jun 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$141
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 8.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 21.4% below their final list price (as of Jun 2026); 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $51k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,541 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $141 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.9% (80% range; middle estimate +4.8%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hardeman County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivar, TN 38008 | $152.5K | +1.1% | 95 |
| Whiteville, TN 38075 | $181.9K | +10.5% | 34 |
| Middleton, TN 38052 | $188.5K | +11.0% | 59 |
| Saulsbury, TN 38067 | $155.5K | +9.8% | 85 |
| Toone, TN 38381 | $192.9K | +8.9% | 10 |
| Grand Junction, TN 38039 | $157.3K | +6.5% | 80 |
| Hornsby, TN 38044 | $163.2K | +12.9% | 43 |