Beech Bluff, TN 38313 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 2
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Home Value
$220,173
+2.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
2
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
35 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
19%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
0.1%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$152
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+0% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 50% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−29% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (2/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.8% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 19% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $54k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,622 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $152 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.6% to +9.7% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Madison County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson, TN 38305 | $276.5K | −1.2% | 80 |
| Jackson, TN 38301 | $138.3K | −2.6% | 65 |
| Medina, TN 38355 | $324.1K | +2.6% | 90 |
| Medon, TN 38356 | $212.8K | +6.5% | 1 |
| Pinson, TN 38366 | $191.9K | +4.2% | 77 |
| Denmark, TN 38391 | $187.5K | +8.8% | 64 |
| Oakfield, TN 38362 | $209.4K | +0.8% | 99 |
| Mercer, TN 38392 | $191.4K | +7.2% | 76 |