Allensville, KY 42204 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 36
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Home Value
$234,403
−4.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
36
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Nov 2025
Days on Market
174 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Nov 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
53%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$215
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 53% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 4.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 57% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (36/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Nov 2025); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $56k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,571 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $215 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Todd County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elkton, KY 42220 | $215.3K | −3.7% | 83 |
| Allensville, KY 42234 | $189.1K | −7.5% | 83 |
| Trenton, KY 42286 | $291K | −2.7% | 82 |
| Sharon Grove, KY 42280 | $247.6K | −2.0% | 63 |