Trenton, KY 42286 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 82
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Home Value
$291,037
−2.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
82
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
16.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
54%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$186
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 54% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+133% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (82/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.0% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $69k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $186 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.5%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Todd County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elkton, KY 42220 | $215.3K | −3.7% | 83 |
| Allensville, KY 42234 | $189.1K | −7.5% | 83 |
| Allensville, KY 42204 | $234.4K | −4.5% | 36 |
| Sharon Grove, KY 42280 | $247.6K | −2.0% | 63 |