Allensville, KY 42234 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 83
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$189,105
−7.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
83
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
11.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
84 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
41%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$207
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 41% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 7.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 200% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+18% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (83/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.0% below their final list price; 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $47k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $207 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (51% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.3% to +7.1% (80% range; middle estimate 0.0%), chance of a rise 51%, of a 5%+ drop 22%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Allensville, KY 42234
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Todd County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elkton, KY 42220 | $215.3K | −3.7% | 83 |
| Trenton, KY 42286 | $291K | −2.7% | 82 |
| Allensville, KY 42204 | $234.4K | −4.5% | 36 |
| Sharon Grove, KY 42280 | $247.6K | −2.0% | 63 |