Williamsburg, KY 42635 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$122,001
−11.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
14.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
132 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
40%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
33%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$92
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 33% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 11.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 60% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+14% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.9% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 40% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $32k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $92 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (47% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.7% to +6.6% (80% range; middle estimate −0.4%), chance of a rise 47%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in McCreary County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stearns, KY 42653 | $104K | −9.7% | 58 |
| Stearns, KY 42647 | $92.4K | −13.6% | 51 |
| Strunk, KY 42649 | $111.6K | −8.3% | 97 |
| Burnside, KY 42634 | $64.7K | −15.9% | 96 |
| Revelo, KY 42638 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 42631 | – | – | 55 |